A Ukraine as a state will inevitably disappear, Dmitry Medvedev believes.
However, this can happen in several ways, which will also determine the possibility of resuming the conflict, which is considered by the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, quoted by TASS Agency.
“I recently wrote about why Ukraine will disappear. Now it’s time to tell you how Ukraine will disappear., as well as the risk of renewed conflict in Europe and the world. It depends on which way the process of disintegrating this mortal condition goes,” he wrote on his Telegram channel this Thursday.
According to Medvedev, there is more than one possibility: “One is the path Relatively slow erosion of the Ukrainian state along with the gradual loss of the remaining elements of state sovereignty. Or your way Immediate decline By erasing all signs of the state at once,” he said.
However, after this collapse it continued, Three scenes Chances are. In the first case, the western regions of Ukraine “It comes under the control of many EU countries By effecting the subsequent Anschluss [palavra utilizada em História para se referir à anexação da Áustria por parte da Alemanha em 1938] Beneficiary States of these lands”.
“At the same time, between Russia and the lands under the sovereignty of several European countries there will be a certain Ukrainian no-movement zone. The remaining unclaimed zone represents its succession from the former Ukraine, its international legal personality and its succession. The intention to return the lost lands”, read.
In his opinion, at the same time, this “new” Ukraine will immediately declare its desire to join the EU and NATO, which will happen in the medium term. “Armed conflict resumes after a short period, becoming permanent, but with the threat of a rapid transition to a full-blown Third World War”said the politician.
In the second situation, according to the Deputy Chairman of the Security Council of the Russian Federation, T Ukraine disappeared after completing a special military operation In the process of separation between Russia and many EU countries. “It ends with reasonable assurances that the conflict will not resume in the short term, but by protecting the terrorist activities of the Ukrainian Nazis, which will be dispersed on the territory of the EU countries that received the West Ukrainian lands,” he continued.
The risk of a full-scale conflict resuming, or in this case escalating into a world war, can be considered moderate, Medvedev said.
In the third option, he said, the same thing happens as in the first case, but with the opposite sign. “to Ukraine’s western lands are joined by several EU countries. UN “The peoples of the central regions and certain other disenfranchised regions of Ukraine within the framework of Article 1 of the Charter declare their self-determination immediately upon joining the Russian Federation,” he said.
According to Medvedev, there is no other option. “While it may be unpleasant for someone in the West to admit this, it is already clear to everyone. We may be temporarily satisfied with the second option, but we need a third option.“, he summed up, as quoted by the Russian company.
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