865 + 246 = 1,215 – 103: The formula for pitting Trump against Biden

Fifteen US states hold primaries tonight: Super Tuesday is Super Tuesday, as a result of a landmark federal Supreme Court ruling in favor of the former president and Nikki Haley's first victory in the race for the Republican nomination. Analysts say a Trump-Biden runoff in November could be guaranteed next week if Trump wins a majority of swing states tonight.

“When you are asked and duty calls, you answer. My mission is to save democracy because Donald Trump will destroy our democracy,” she said. Norma Anderson is 91 years old, and for a few months, she abandoned the party she always supported, and the former president ran in the 2016 presidential campaign of the United States. He has been reforming since bursting onto the political scene.

After a hiatus, Anderson decided to rejoin the party that had been elected to Congress in Colorado a few decades earlier because, In your words, reproduced by Politico, is an “old-fashioned republican” that believes in democracy. “They won't chase me. I'll be a Republican until I die. I was born a Republican and I'll die a Republican. The former congresswoman is one of six Republican and unaffiliated citizens who, in December, began an unprecedented process to block Trump from running for president again — and yesterday, on the popular Super Tuesday. Earlier, he saw their aspirations fall to the ground.

Backed by a clause in the more than 150-year-old United States Constitution that dictates that former public officials suspected of engaging in “seditious acts” cannot run for president, the Washington-based Citizens' Responsibility and Ethics Committee on January 6, 2021, challenged the federal Supreme Court's eligibility for Trump in light of the attack on the Capitol. DC (CREW) Awaits (SCOTUS) Decision. The decision came late Monday afternoon, when a panel of federal judges decided. The Colorado Supreme Court “erred” in ruling the former president disqualified, hours before 15 states hold primaries to decide who they want to run for president in November.

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865 + 247 = 1,215 – 103

For the Democratic Party, the direct vote should have little impact, as Joe Biden is guaranteed the nomination (which it probably won't). What happened in Michigan five days ago Repeated with direct Democrats in some or all states, even if the rules dictate, until Biden drops out of the race. The appointment is already yours) On the Republican side, however, this will be one of the most important stages in the race for the nomination, with more than a third of the Republican Party's delegates up for grabs and many analysts expecting it to act as the final nail in the coffin of politics. The coffin of Nikki Haley, Trump's only rival in the nomination race.

At a time when the former president continues to recruit and follow — so far, the businessman has lost only one of the nine states that already have Republican primaries — the consensus is that on Wednesday, his nomination will be virtually official. Although 31 more states and territories have direct meetings between March and mid-July, the date of the party's national convention.

The equation seems simple: With votes scheduled in 31 of the 50 states in the next few months, all are expected to be more or less open until the summer. But this time, Trump faces only one challenger, whose victory, while historic, pales in comparison to the numbers that really matter — against the 19 delegates Haley won in the federal capital on Sunday, Trump already has a few hundred in your pocket, and more in today's votes. to win.

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Despite winning only one of nine rounds of primaries, Nikki Haley continues to run for the Republican nomination. Photo: EPA

In total, 865 Republican delegates will be up for grabs in 15 states, which have some added importance on the electoral map; A candidate needs at least 1,215 to win the Republican nomination. Voters in Alabama, Arkansas, California, Colorado, Maine, Massachusetts, Minnesota, North Carolina, Oklahoma, Tennessee, Texas, Vermont and Virginia are invited to vote in primary elections tonight, in addition to caucuses in Alaska and Utah. In 11 of these 15 states, the primary is open, meaning it is not exclusive to registered Republicans. For the Democratic Party, 1,420 delegates are up for grabs, with a party convention in August requiring a candidate to win the nomination by at least 1,968 (Biden already has 206).

In 2016, Super Tuesday was the moment when Trump took almost complete control of the Republican primary, winning seven of the 11 states that voted that day, despite losing the most important of them, Texas. Unlike this year, the contest was very close till the final stage of the party's direct elections. At this point, Trump already has 247 elected representatives. If he wins all or most of the voting states on Super Tuesday, he will be 1,112, 103 short of the minimum threshold. Quoting election experts, CBS News pointed out yesterday Trump could reach this minimum next Tuesday, March 12, with primary day in Georgia, Mississippi and Washington states, as well as Republican caucuses in Hawaii.

What was – what is to come

Even if Trump's victory is decided this month, direct party voting will continue as scheduled over the next few weeks, ending on June 4 in the pre-presidential phase for the opposition. Montana, New Jersey, New Mexico and South Dakota before the results are certified at a July 15-18 conference in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. When that date arrives, Trump will have the nomination for a long time — and now he can win many of the promising battles he faces on his way to the White House.

With the Colorado case closed, 91 criminal charges are pending against the former president in four separate court cases, two of which are federal, in Washington DC and Florida, and the other two are in New York state. and Georgia. It is not yet clear whether any of the cases will be ruled on before the November presidential election.

Supreme Court justices agreed last week to hear one of these cases in the federal capital over suspicions of election interference in light of the former president's alleged involvement in an invasion of the Capitol after Joe Biden won the presidential election. Election in November 2020.

The first SCOTUS hearing is scheduled for the week of April 22, and no decision is best expected before May. In the case, Supreme Court justices are called upon to decide whether or not Trump is immune from election-tampering charges — and the decision has the potential to overturn other cases pending against the presidential candidate. It takes place in Georgia.

Before that, the trial in New York is the first phase of the court case, alleging that he falsified documents from the Trump Organization to pay bribes to a former porn star during the 2016 presidential campaign. It was scheduled for March 25 after primary elections in Louisiana and Missouri and days before voting in seven other states. But it is possible, if not unlikely, that his presidential candidacy is confirmed by then.

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